🎯 Alpha Tracker

My best money ideas β€’ Clear signals I pick for you

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Market: OPEN
πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ASX: CLOSED
β‚Ώ Crypto: 24/7

🟒 My BUY Ideas

NVIDIA

NVDA β€’ NASDAQ β€’ Semiconductor/AI
STRONG BUY
$188.52 +1.10%
Entry $185-190
Target $220-250
Stop Loss $165
My thesis: H200 chip approval in China is huge. Feb 25 earnings will be positive. AI infrastructure spend accelerating. I'm buying on dips.
85% conviction β€’ Risk/reward excellent

Bitcoin

BTC β€’ Crypto β€’ Digital Gold
BUY
$77,806 -0.91%
Entry $75-80K
Target $100K+
Stop Loss $68K
My thesis: ETF inflows continue. Strategic reserve narrative growing. $100K is inevitable. Buy the dips.
80% conviction β€’ Long term hold

ANZ Bank

ANZ β€’ ASX β€’ Banking
BUY
$28.45 +0.3%
Entry $27-29
Target $32+
Stop Loss $25
My thesis: RBA rate cuts coming Q1. Banks benefit from lower funding costs. 5.5% dividend yield doesn't hurt either.
70% conviction β€’ Dividend + upside

Commonwealth Bank

CBA β€’ ASX β€’ Banking
BUY
$142.80 +0.45%
Entry $138-145
Target $160+
Stop Loss $128
My thesis: Australia's #1 bank. Mortgage book strong. Rate cuts = lower bad debts. Best-in-class management. Safe Aussie bank play.
75% conviction β€’ Quality over quantity

Westpac

WBC β€’ ASX β€’ Banking
BUY
$28.90 +0.6%
Entry $27-30
Target $35+
Stop Loss $24
My thesis: Turnaround story. Past regulatory issues behind them. Cheapest of the big 4. Highest yield (~6%). Rate cuts catalyst.
65% conviction β€’ Value play with yield

Newmont Corp

NEM β€’ NYSE β€’ Gold Mining
BUY
$45.80 +0.4%
Entry $44-47
Target $55+
Stop Loss $40
My thesis: Gold $3000/oz by 2026. Central banks buying. NEM is the cleanest gold miner play. Warren Buffett hates gold but I'm buying miners.
65% conviction β€’ Inflation hedge

US Oil Fund

USO β€’ NYSE β€’ Commodities
BUY
$72.30 -1.2%
Entry $70-75
Target $85+
Stop Loss $65
My thesis: OPEC+ production cuts extending. Geopolitical premium building. Russian/Ukraine uncertainty. Energy inflation comeback play.
60% conviction β€’ Cyclical play

πŸ”΄ My CAUTION Ideas

Solana

SOL β€’ Crypto β€’ DeFi
REDUCE
$98.42 -2.34%
Support $85-90
Rebuy above $120+
My thesis: Ran way too fast too soon. Taking profits. Wait for $85-90 before buying back. DeFi activity slowing.
60% conviction β€’ Don't chase

Tesla

TSLA β€’ NASDAQ β€’ EV/Auto
AVOID
$248.50 -1.2%
Fair Value $180-200
Avoid above $260
My thesis: Overpriced relative to growth. FSD/robotaxi not priced in yet either. Wait for better entry or skip entirely.
40% conviction β€’ Overhyped

πŸ“… Key Dates & Market Impact

Feb 5
DeepSeek R2 Release
HIGH IMPACT
πŸš€ Bullish: More efficient AI = faster adoption, NVDA/AI rally
🐻 Bearish: Threat narrative, tech selloff
Affected: NVDA, SOXX, AI stocks
Feb 12
US CPI Report
HIGH IMPACT
πŸš€ Bullish: CPI < 2.5% = Fed cuts sooner, risk-on
🐻 Bearish: CPI > 3% = rates higher for longer
Affected: SPY, QQQ, bonds, USD
Feb 25
NVDA Earnings
HIGH IMPACT
πŸš€ Bullish: Beat + raise = AI rally continues
🐻 Bearish: Miss or soft guide = tech correction
Affected: NVDA, SOXX, SMH, entire AI sector
Mar 5
RBA Rate Decision
MED IMPACT
πŸš€ Bullish: Rate cut = Aussie banks rally
🐻 Bearish: Hold = AUD up, bank pain continues
Affected: CBA, ANZ, WBC, AUD/USD
Mar 12
US Fed Rate Decision
HIGH IMPACT
πŸš€ Bullish: Rate cut = risk assets rally hard
🐻 Bearish: Hold = dollar strengthens, crypto struggles
Affected: All markets, especially crypto & growth
Mar 19
FOMC Minutes
MED IMPACT
πŸš€ Bullish: dovish tone = rate cut confidence
🐻 Bearish: hawkish = "higher for longer" narrative
Affected: Bonds, USD, rate-sensitive stocks
Ongoing
DeepSeek Impact
ONGOING
πŸš€ Bullish: Efficiency gains boost enterprise AI spend
🐻 Bearish: CapEx slowdown fears for hyperscalers
Affected: NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN
Feb-Mar
Earnings Season
ONGOING
πŸš€ Bullish: Strong earnings = all-time highs
🐻 Bearish: Multiple misses = volatility spike
Affected: Entire market

πŸ“ˆ On My Radar

MSTR
Bitcoin strategy
WATCH
AAPL
AI phone cycle
WATCH
COIN
Crypto exchange
WATCH
GLD
Gold ETF
WATCH
ETH
Ethereum
WATCH
GOOGL
AI infrastructure
WATCH